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OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Opciones2

Favorito: Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam · 64%

  1. 1

    Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam

    64%

    Probabilidad

  2. 2

    Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam

    23%

    Probabilidad

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