Todos los eventos
60 eventos · ordenados por cierran pronto
Sam Altman in jail by...?
Sam Altman in jail by June 30
1%
+1 opciones más
Vol 14,47 US$Cerrado
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026
69%
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2026
0%
+2 opciones más
Vol 233,25 US$Cerrado
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026
86%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026
68%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026
40%
+2 opciones más
Vol 373,44 mil US$Cerrado
Services Down Parlay
Services Down Parlay
1%
Vol 29,06 US$Cerrado
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam
57%
Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam
36%
Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam
6%
+2 opciones más
Vol 99,37 US$Cerrado
Encore Medical IPO Closing Market Cap
Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026
78%
Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day
9%
Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day
7%
+2 opciones más
Vol 944,68 US$Cerrado
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant
8%
Vol 7,38 US$Cerrado
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)
18%
Vol 62,28 US$Cerrado
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu
79%
Vol 46,14 US$4 días
Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth?
Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be below 0%
50%
Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be between 0% and 0.5%
50%
Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be between 0.5% and 1%
48%
+1 opciones más
Vol —5 días
Riku Dining Group IPO Closing Market Cap
RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026
90%
RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $110M and $130M at market close on IPO day
4%
RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $90M and $110M at market close on IPO day
2%
+3 opciones más
Vol 204,26 US$13 días
BW Industrial Holdings IPO Closing Market Cap
BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026
93%
BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day
3%
BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day
1%
+3 opciones más
Vol 35,14 US$13 días
US bank failure by May 31?
US bank failure by May 31
11%
Vol 57,74 US$17 días
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Critical Discord Incident by May 31
16%
Vol 1,98 mil US$17 días
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?
Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026
47%
Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026
25%
Ornn B200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026
25%
+11 opciones más
Vol 16,78 mil US$17 días
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?
Ornn H200 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026
76%
Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026
24%
Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026
15%
+10 opciones más
Vol 69,94 US$17 días
2nd largest company end of May?
Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
94%
Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
4%
NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
3%
+26 opciones más
Vol 51,85 mil US$17 días
3rd largest company end of May?
Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
95%
Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
4%
NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
1%
+26 opciones más
Vol 14,09 mil US$17 días
Largest Company end of May?
NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
94%
Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
6%
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
0%
+26 opciones más
Vol 209,42 mil US$17 días
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31
32%
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30
5%
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31
3%
+2 opciones más
Vol 6,10 mil US$47 días
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30
82%
Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30
15%
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30
2%
+25 opciones más
Vol 275,72 mil US$47 días
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30
1%
+1 opciones más
Vol 134,77 US$47 días
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July
3%
Vol 420,91 US$47 días
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
2%
Vol 120,52 mil US$47 días
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30
17%
Vol 3,75 mil US$47 días
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30
46%
Vol 4,89 mil US$47 días
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30
3%
Vol 18,15 US$47 días
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30
7%
Vol 1,60 US$47 días
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30
13%
xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30
9%
Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30
6%
+8 opciones más
Vol 392,43 US$47 días
Which banks will fail by June 30?
BNY fail by June 30, 2026
9%
RBC fail by June 30, 2026
2%
BMO fail by June 30, 2026
2%
+16 opciones más
Vol 941,94 US$47 días
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30
1%
Vol 40,49 mil US$47 días
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Elon Musk buy Ryanair
1%
Vol 5,18 mil US$47 días
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
92%
Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
66%
Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
55%
+1 opciones más
Vol 1,67 US$47 días
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam
49%
+2 opciones más
Vol 5,45 US$47 días
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam
17%
an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam
9%
an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam
5%
+2 opciones más
Vol 30,57 US$47 días
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30
3%
Vol 422,66 US$47 días
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026
13%
+1 opciones más
Vol 857,02 US$47 días
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30
47%
Vol 78,48 US$47 días
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30
73%
Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30
22%
Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30
14%
+2 opciones más
Vol 111,62 mil US$47 días
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
80%
Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
79%
Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
53%
+6 opciones más
Vol 229,15 US$47 días
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
27%
Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026
25%
Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
22%
+6 opciones más
Vol 81,09 US$47 días
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31
2%
Vol 149,40 US$47 días
Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks
25%
LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks
6%
Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks
3%
+21 opciones más
Vol 223,62 US$119 días
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026
78%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026
45%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026
26%
Vol 320,58 US$139 días
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027
50%
10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027
44%
10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027
36%
+6 opciones más
Vol 19,98 US$231 días
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027
11%
Vol 119,55 US$231 días
Ben Pasternak jailed?
Ben Pasternak jailed
13%
Vol 49,43 mil US$231 días
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026
38%
OpenAI announce glasses in 2026
28%
OpenAI announce a phone in 2026
21%
+7 opciones más
Vol 8,52 mil US$231 días
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027
24%
Vol 85,30 US$231 días
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027
36%
Vol 1,99 US$231 días
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027
20%
Vol 636,13 US$231 días
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Anthropic acquired before 2027
8%
Vol 18,37 mil US$231 días
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027
9%
Vol 142,20 mil US$231 días
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
OpenAI acquired before 2027
6%
Vol 3,24 mil US$231 días
Anthropic next funding round closed by...?
Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026
97%
Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026
85%
Vol 1,87 mil US$231 días
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027
11%
Vol 103,83 mil US$231 días
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027
19%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027
12%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027
11%
+3 opciones más
Vol 151,76 US$231 días
AI bubble burst by...?
AI bubble burst in 2026
23%
+2 opciones más
Vol 3,47 mil US$231 días
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027
72%
Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027
52%
Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027
51%
+12 opciones más
Vol 29,94 US$231 días
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Cursor be acquired before 2027
76%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027
72%
Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027
59%
+15 opciones más
Vol 1,74 mil US$231 días