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60 eventos · ordenados por volumen total

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026
86%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026
68%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026
40%

+2 opciones más

Vol 373,44 mil US$Cerrado

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
70%
1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026
16%
2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
8%

+10 opciones más

Vol 442,49 mil US$231 días

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Cursor be acquired before 2027
76%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027
72%
Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027
59%

+15 opciones más

Vol 1,74 mil US$231 días

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30
82%
Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30
15%
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30
2%

+25 opciones más

Vol 275,72 mil US$47 días

IPOs before 2027?

Cerebras IPO before 2027
100%
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027
94%
Anthropic IPO before 2027
65%

+31 opciones más

Vol 10,69 mil US$231 días

Largest Company end of May?

NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
94%
Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
6%
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
0%

+26 opciones más

Vol 209,42 mil US$17 días

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Elon Musk buy Ryanair
1%
Vol 5,18 mil US$47 días

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst in 2026
23%

+2 opciones más

Vol 3,47 mil US$231 días

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31
60%
Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31
31%
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31
6%

+25 opciones más

Vol 6,17 mil US$231 días

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day
28%
SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day
27%
SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day
20%

+5 opciones más

Vol 7,08 mil US$

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026
87%
xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026
26%
Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026
10%

+71 opciones más

Vol 1,45 mil US$231 días

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk be richest person on December 31
90%
Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31
1%
Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31
1%

+34 opciones más

Vol 151,64 US$231 días

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering
41%
Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering
37%
Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering
10%

+27 opciones más

Vol 2,74 mil US$596 días

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026
69%
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2026
0%

+2 opciones más

Vol 233,25 US$Cerrado

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30
13%
xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30
9%
Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30
6%

+8 opciones más

Vol 392,43 US$47 días

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B
72%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T
60%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T
57%

+2 opciones más

Vol 113,71 US$596 días

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026
22%
Vol 3,23 mil US$262 días

OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026
28%
OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026
2%

+1 opciones más

Vol 1,16 mil US$231 días

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31
32%
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30
5%
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31
3%

+2 opciones más

Vol 6,10 mil US$47 días

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027
19%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027
12%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027
11%

+3 opciones más

Vol 151,76 US$231 días

Which banks will fail by June 30?

BNY fail by June 30, 2026
9%
RBC fail by June 30, 2026
2%
BMO fail by June 30, 2026
2%

+16 opciones más

Vol 941,94 US$47 días

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027
81%
Vol 572,34 US$231 días

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)
67%
SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)
22%
SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)
9%

+9 opciones más

Vol 253,99 US$231 días

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam
57%
Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam
36%
Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam
6%

+2 opciones más

Vol 99,37 US$Cerrado

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam
17%
an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam
9%
an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam
5%

+2 opciones más

Vol 30,57 US$47 días

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Apple release a new product line before 2027
32%
Vol 106,98 US$231 días

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027
24%
Vol 85,30 US$231 días

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026
38%
OpenAI announce glasses in 2026
28%
OpenAI announce a phone in 2026
21%

+7 opciones más

Vol 8,52 mil US$231 días

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
2%
Vol 120,52 mil US$47 días

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027
50%
10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027
44%
10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027
36%

+6 opciones más

Vol 19,98 US$231 días

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31
2%
Vol 149,40 US$47 días

2nd largest company end of May?

Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
94%
Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
4%
NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
3%

+26 opciones más

Vol 51,85 mil US$17 días

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027
9%
Vol 142,20 mil US$231 días

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027
51%
Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day
12%
Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day
10%

+5 opciones más

Vol 139,83 mil US$596 días

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO
40%
SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO
21%
SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO
19%

+7 opciones más

Vol 55,00 US$

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
92%
Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
66%
Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
55%

+1 opciones más

Vol 1,67 US$47 días

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027
72%
Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027
52%
Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027
51%

+12 opciones más

Vol 29,94 US$231 días

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30
73%
Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30
22%
Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30
14%

+2 opciones más

Vol 111,62 mil US$47 días

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027
36%
Vol 1,99 US$231 días

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30
17%
Vol 3,75 mil US$47 días

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July
3%
Vol 420,91 US$47 días

3rd largest company end of May?

Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
95%
Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
4%
NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31
1%

+26 opciones más

Vol 14,09 mil US$17 días

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027
11%
Vol 103,83 mil US$231 días

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
80%
Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
79%
Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
53%

+6 opciones más

Vol 229,15 US$47 días

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31
36%
JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31
14%
American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31
8%

+2 opciones más

Vol 1,67 mil US$231 días

Strava IPO Closing Market Cap

Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day
37%
Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day
25%
Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day
25%

+6 opciones más

Vol 85,48 mil US$596 días

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30
3%
Vol 422,66 US$47 días

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first
98%
Vol 16,54 US$596 días

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks
25%
LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks
6%
Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks
3%

+21 opciones más

Vol 223,62 US$119 días

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027
15%
Vol 227,59 US$231 días

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026
6%
Vol 151,21 US$232 días

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027
20%
Vol 537,00 US$231 días

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first
69%
Vol 82,86 US$596 días

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027
20%
Vol 636,13 US$231 días

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026
8%
Vol 229,36 US$231 días

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026
39%
Vol 49,51 mil US$231 días

Ben Pasternak jailed?

Ben Pasternak jailed
13%
Vol 49,43 mil US$231 días

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement
42%
Vol 100,00 US$231 días

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30
7%
Vol 1,60 US$47 días

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by June 30
1%

+1 opciones más

Vol 14,47 US$Cerrado

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