Todos los eventos
60 eventos · ordenados por volumen total
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
24%
Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
9%
+125 opciones más
Vol USD 1.30 M908 días
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
49%
J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
37%
Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
25%
+125 opciones más
Vol USD 1.20 M908 días
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election
19%
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election
17%
Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election
13%
+125 opciones más
Vol USD 1.68 M908 días
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026
44%
Netanyahu out by June 30
5%
Netanyahu out by May 31
1%
+2 opciones más
Vol USD 58.18 k231 días
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026
63%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026
35%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026
17%
+7 opciones más
Vol USD 2.70 M231 días
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
63%
Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
24%
María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
8%
+54 opciones más
Vol USD 98.71 k231 días
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
43%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
39%
Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
6%
+29 opciones más
Vol USD 710.75 k143 días
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election
24%
Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election
20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election
11%
+125 opciones más
Vol USD 815.71 k351 días
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair
100%
Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
+32 opciones más
Vol USD 4.32 M170 días
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
62%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
35%
Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
1%
+46 opciones más
Vol USD 260.92 kCerrado
Will Trump visit China by...?
Trump visit China by May 31
100%
Trump visit China by June 30
100%
Trump visit China by May 15
100%
+6 opciones más
Vol USD 8.48 MCerrado
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Iranian regime fall by June 30
5%
Vol USD 176.91 k47 días
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
US confirm that aliens exist before 2027
14%
US confirm that aliens exist by September 30
11%
US confirm that aliens exist by June 30
5%
+3 opciones más
Vol USD 551.21 k231 días
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
88%
Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
13%
Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
+63 opciones más
Vol USD 789.86 k20 días
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026
59%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026
24%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026
2%
+17 opciones más
Vol USD 265.73 kCerrado
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Trump acquire Greenland before 2027
7%
Vol USD 24.96 k231 días
Colombia Presidential Election
Candidate M win the 2026 Colombian presidential election
50%
Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election
46%
Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election
40%
+25 opciones más
Vol USD 177.88 k39 días
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
U.S. invade Iran before 2027
28%
Vol USD 154.20 k231 días
Fed Decision in June?
there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting
98%
Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting
1%
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting
1%
+2 opciones más
Vol USD 1.69 M34 días
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
7%
Vol USD 335.46 k231 días
Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by December 31, 2026
68%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026
35%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026
21%
+5 opciones más
Vol USD 1.88 MCerrado
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake release Iceman before GTA VI
99%
GPT-6 be released before GTA VI
66%
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI
54%
+6 opciones más
Vol USD 32.98 k79 días
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026
55%
Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026
25%
Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026
11%
+42 opciones más
Vol USD 356.88 k173 días
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Iranian regime fall by May 31
1%
Vol USD 324.18 k17 días
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Iranian regime fall before 2027
18%
Vol USD 13.21 k231 días
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026
52%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026
23%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026
9%
+10 opciones más
Vol USD 340.17 k47 días
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
8%
Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
6%
+68 opciones más
Vol USD 86.16 k149 días
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary
61%
John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary
39%
Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary
0%
+17 opciones más
Vol USD 11.54 k12 días
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026
11%
+3 opciones más
Vol USD 14.15 MCerrado
Epstein suicide note released by...?
Epstein suicide note released by May 31
12%
Epstein suicide note released by May 8
0%
Vol USD 1.17 M17 días
Iran leadership change by...?
Iran leadership change by December 31
35%
Iran leadership change by June 30
14%
Iran leadership change by May 31
8%
+3 opciones más
Vol USD 45.17 k231 días
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31
27%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30
13%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31
7%
+1 opciones más
Vol USD 129.38 k231 días
Iran closes its airspace by...?
Iran closes its airspace by June 30
47%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31
38%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24
25%
+6 opciones más
Vol USD 366.25 k17 días
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
US acquire part of Greenland in 2026
17%
Vol USD 42.88 k231 días
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump out as President before 2027
12%
Vol USD 40.91 k231 días
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections
73%
Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections
18%
Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections
9%
+30 opciones más
Vol USD 12.68 kCerrado
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel
41%
Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel
35%
Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel
14%
+25 opciones más
Vol USD 98.90 k231 días
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026
64%
Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026
8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026
4%
+120 opciones más
Vol USD 183.41 k231 días
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026
2%
Vol USD 86.17 k47 días
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
63%
New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
28%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
5%
+31 opciones más
Vol USD 69.14 k129 días
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026
8%
+2 opciones más
Vol USD 9.42 k231 días
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026
45%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026
18%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026
6%
+1 opciones más
Vol USD 116.56 k231 días
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
44%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
33%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
22%
+2 opciones más
Vol USD 60.96 k173 días
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Israel strike 5 countries in 2026
36%
Israel strike 4 countries in 2026
28%
Israel strike 6 countries in 2026
18%
+13 opciones más
Vol USD 1.76 k231 días
Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?
Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
35%
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
34%
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
17%
+23 opciones más
Vol USD 2.29 M2 días
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
56%
upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
13%
upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
12%
+12 opciones más
Vol USD 5.68 k209 días
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
99%
Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
0%
Mario Vizcarra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
0%
+45 opciones más
Vol USD 66.85 kCerrado
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026
75%
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30
57%
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30
37%
+10 opciones más
Vol USD 12.45 kCerrado
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
80%
Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
22%
another party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
0%
+6 opciones más
Vol USD 239.85 k173 días
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30
21%
María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31
8%
María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 24
0%
+5 opciones más
Vol USD 563.42Cerrado
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026
36%
Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
24%
Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
12%
+58 opciones más
Vol USD 372.24 k231 días
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election
85%
Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election
15%
Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election
1%
+20 opciones más
Vol USD 64.29 k18 días
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Trump and Putin not meet
87%
Trump and Putin meet next in Russia
6%
Trump and Putin meet next in China
3%
+12 opciones más
Vol USD 45.43 k47 días
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
US withdraw from NATO before 2027
8%
US withdraw from NATO by June 30
2%
+1 opciones más
Vol USD 2.37 k231 días
Will Trump visit China on...?
Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026
100%
Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026
0%
Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026
0%
+29 opciones más
Vol USD 1.55 M17 días
Fed Decision in July?
there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting
91%
Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
5%
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
2%
+2 opciones más
Vol USD 132.85 k76 días
Trump out as President by June 30?
Trump out as President by June 30
2%
Vol USD 32.88 k47 días
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan
51%
no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026
39%
next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country
2%
+16 opciones más
Vol USD 30.38 k47 días
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026
100%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026
99%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026
90%
+3 opciones más
Vol USD 256.17 k15 h
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026
2%
+1 opciones más
Vol USD 12.89 kCerrado