Todos los eventos
60 eventos · ordenados por volumen total
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
US confirm that aliens exist before 2027
14%
US confirm that aliens exist by September 30
11%
US confirm that aliens exist by June 30
5%
+3 opciones más
Vol 551,12 mil US$231 días
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
99%
there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
60%
there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
28%
+6 opciones más
Vol 680,63 US$231 días
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2026 be the second-hottest year on record
56%
2026 be the hottest year on record
37%
2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record
3%
+3 opciones más
Vol 2,89 mil US$231 días
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026
3%
Vol 48,41 US$231 días
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30
80%
there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30
18%
+7 opciones más
Vol 226,76 US$47 días
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026
87%
xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026
26%
Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026
10%
+71 opciones más
Vol 1,45 mil US$231 días
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30
97%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31
91%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode
91%
+16 opciones más
Vol 62,73 mil US$Cerrado
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
29%
there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
27%
there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
21%
+4 opciones más
Vol 1,29 mil US$231 días
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
59%
there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026
36%
there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
5%
+3 opciones más
Vol 502,71 US$321 días
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day
62%
SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day
10%
SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day
9%
+5 opciones más
Vol 10,81 mil US$596 días
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027
4%
Vol 1,11 mil US$231 días
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027
6%
Vol 1,30 mil US$231 días
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year
16%
Vol 811,96 US$231 días
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal
87%
Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal
67%
Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal
56%
+7 opciones más
Vol 2,60 US$77 días
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026
62%
5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026
26%
7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026
6%
+5 opciones más
Vol 45,60 US$231 días
New pandemic in 2026?
New pandemic in 2026
13%
Vol 8,95 mil US$231 días
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season
7%
Vol 340,69 mil US$17 días
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027
40%
Vol 79,03 US$231 días
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026
37%
SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026
32%
SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026
13%
+4 opciones más
Vol 99,95 US$231 días
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
5kt meteor strike in 2026
32%
Vol 10,74 US$231 días
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026
28%
Vol 23,07 US$231 días
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027
10%
Vol 53,98 US$231 días
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027
5%
Vol 17,79 US$231 días
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026
16%
Vol 77,52 US$231 días
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
any month of 2026 be the hottest on record
89%
Vol 52,96 US$241 días
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027
11%
Vol 135,24 mil US$231 días
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31
76%
Vol 7,50 US$231 días
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027
36%
Vol 1,99 US$231 días
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026
4%
Vol 38,95 US$231 días
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027
28%
Vol 27,73 US$231 días
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30
47%
there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30
29%
there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30
25%
+4 opciones más
Vol 113,80 US$47 días
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record
54%
May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record
34%
May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record
10%
+1 opciones más
Vol 16,67 mil US$27 días
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026
9%
Vol 33,45 US$321 días
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30
3%
Vol 422,66 US$47 días
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first
98%
Vol 16,54 US$596 días
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026
55%
1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026
15%
1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026
8%
+5 opciones más
Vol 479,92 US$241 días
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31
23%
Vol 91,05 US$231 días
Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026
88%
there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026
25%
there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026
11%
+4 opciones más
Vol 2,91 mil US$17 días
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026
52%
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026
17%
+1 opciones más
Vol 970,42 US$17 días
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17
26%
there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17
16%
there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17
14%
+5 opciones más
Vol 14,74 mil US$3 días
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17
58%
there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17
30%
there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17
10%
+4 opciones más
Vol 6,10 mil US$3 días
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026
45%
global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026
22%
global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026
14%
+3 opciones más
Vol 1,24 mil US$27 días
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026
7%
Vol 34,96 US$231 días
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 85 and 90
99%
U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 90 and 95
1%
U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 80 and 85
0%
+3 opciones más
Vol 140,07 US$1 día
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027
9%
Vol 8,11 mil US$231 días
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap
91%
Vol 7,65 mil US$596 días
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
100kt meteor strike in 2026
6%
Vol 7,23 mil US$231 días
Precipitation in NYC in May?
NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May
45%
NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May
35%
NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May
34%
+3 opciones más
Vol 130,92 US$17 días
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)
18%
Vol 62,28 US$Cerrado
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?
FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant
8%
Vol 7,38 US$Cerrado
Precipitation in London in May?
London have 30mm or more of precipitation in May
54%
London have between 10-15mm of precipitation in May
41%
London have between 15-20mm of precipitation in May
24%
+4 opciones más
Vol 76,60 US$17 días
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May
40%
Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May
39%
Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May
39%
+5 opciones más
Vol 49,27 US$17 días
How many SpaceX launches in May?
SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in May
51%
SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in May
43%
SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May
33%
+4 opciones más
Vol 30,90 US$17 días
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu
79%
Vol 46,14 US$4 días
Precipitation in Seattle in May?
Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in May
41%
Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in May
41%
Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in May
41%
+4 opciones más
Vol 6,23 US$17 días
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week
67%
there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week
28%
there be exactly 4 major space weather events this week
25%
+4 opciones más
Vol 146,29 US$2 días
Precipitation in Seoul in May?
Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in May
41%
Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May
41%
Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May
41%
+5 opciones más
Vol 38,04 US$17 días
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026
8%
Vol 431,41 US$231 días
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31
52%
Vol 20,00 US$231 días
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
US fertility rate up in Q1 2026
20%
Vol 61,89 US$231 días