Todos los eventos
60 eventos · ordenados por más populares
Will Trump visit China by...?
Trump visit China by May 31
100%
Trump visit China by June 30
100%
Trump visit China by May 15
100%
+6 opciones más
Vol 8,34 M US$Cerrado
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair
100%
Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
+32 opciones más
Vol 4,10 M US$170 días
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026
63%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026
35%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026
17%
+7 opciones más
Vol 2,57 M US$231 días
Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by December 31, 2026
67%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026
35%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026
20%
+5 opciones más
Vol 2,19 M US$Cerrado
Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
43%
Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
26%
Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
19%
+23 opciones más
Vol 2,14 M US$2 días
Fed Decision in June?
there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting
98%
Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting
1%
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting
1%
+2 opciones más
Vol 1,71 M US$34 días
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election
19%
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election
17%
Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election
14%
+125 opciones más
Vol 1,67 M US$908 días
Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026
20%
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026
19%
Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026
14%
+23 opciones más
Vol 1,52 M US$6 días
Will Trump visit China on...?
Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026
100%
Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026
0%
Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026
0%
+29 opciones más
Vol 1,49 M US$17 días
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
24%
Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
9%
+125 opciones más
Vol 1,24 M US$908 días
Epstein suicide note released by...?
Epstein suicide note released by May 31
12%
Epstein suicide note released by May 8
0%
Vol 1,24 M US$17 días
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
49%
J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
37%
Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
25%
+125 opciones más
Vol 1,20 M US$908 días
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
Hezbollah disarm by December 31
17%
+2 opciones más
Vol 1,02 M US$231 días
Elon Musk # tweets May 11 - May 13, 2026?
Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026
98%
Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026
2%
Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026
0%
+7 opciones más
Vol 979,36 mil US$8 h
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election
24%
Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election
20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election
11%
+125 opciones más
Vol 815,59 mil US$351 días
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
91%
Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
10%
Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
+63 opciones más
Vol 737,37 mil US$20 días
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
43%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
39%
Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
6%
+29 opciones más
Vol 722,69 mil US$143 días
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
US confirm that aliens exist before 2027
14%
US confirm that aliens exist by September 30
11%
US confirm that aliens exist by June 30
5%
+3 opciones más
Vol 546,82 mil US$231 días
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Iranian regime fall by May 31
1%
Vol 458,98 mil US$17 días
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026
52%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026
23%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026
9%
+10 opciones más
Vol 410,37 mil US$47 días
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026
36%
Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
24%
Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
12%
+58 opciones más
Vol 388,82 mil US$231 días
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026
55%
Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026
25%
Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026
11%
+42 opciones más
Vol 369,01 mil US$173 días
Iran closes its airspace by...?
Iran closes its airspace by June 30
47%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31
38%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24
26%
+6 opciones más
Vol 366,91 mil US$17 días
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
+2 opciones más
Vol 365,28 mil US$170 días
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Trump and Xi kiss at their summit
1%
Vol 356,48 mil US$1 día
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Iranian regime fall by June 30
5%
Vol 356,16 mil US$47 días
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
7%
Vol 335,46 mil US$231 días
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026
8%
Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026
8%
Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026
8%
+63 opciones más
Vol 289,32 mil US$18 días
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026
60%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026
24%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026
2%
+17 opciones más
Vol 280,05 mil US$Cerrado
Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026
19%
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026
17%
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026
13%
+23 opciones más
Vol 270,86 mil US$9 días
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026
100%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026
99%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026
90%
+3 opciones más
Vol 261,42 mil US$16 h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
80%
Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
22%
another party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
0%
+6 opciones más
Vol 239,19 mil US$173 días
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
62%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
35%
Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election
1%
+46 opciones más
Vol 222,69 mil US$Cerrado
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026
18%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026
4%
Vol 209,83 mil US$231 días
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026
64%
Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026
8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026
4%
+120 opciones más
Vol 182,54 mil US$231 días
Colombia Presidential Election
Candidate M win the 2026 Colombian presidential election
50%
Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election
46%
Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election
40%
+25 opciones más
Vol 179,69 mil US$39 días
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30
2%
Vol 178,24 mil US$47 días
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027
52%
Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027
28%
Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027
5%
+21 opciones más
Vol 166,31 mil US$231 días
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31
1%
Vol 151,15 mil US$17 días
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
U.S. invade Iran before 2027
28%
Vol 142,97 mil US$231 días
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30
2%
Vol 140,17 mil US$47 días
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30
2%
Vol 133,06 mil US$47 días
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31
27%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30
13%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31
7%
+1 opciones más
Vol 131,40 mil US$231 días
Fed Decision in July?
there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting
91%
Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
5%
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
2%
+2 opciones más
Vol 130,26 mil US$76 días
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31
14%
Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31
14%
Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31
4%
+1 opciones más
Vol 124,35 mil US$17 días
Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?
any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit
100%
Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit
99%
Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit
99%
+8 opciones más
Vol 119,53 mil US$3 días
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026
45%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026
18%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026
6%
+1 opciones más
Vol 118,52 mil US$231 días
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
U.S. invade Cuba in 2026
23%
Vol 103,62 mil US$231 días
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
63%
Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
24%
María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
8%
+54 opciones más
Vol 103,36 mil US$231 días
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel
41%
Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel
35%
Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel
14%
+25 opciones más
Vol 103,04 mil US$231 días
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30
1%
Vol 100,02 mil US$47 días
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026
2%
Vol 99,19 mil US$47 días
Elon Musk # tweets May 14 - May 16, 2026?
Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026
49%
Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026
40%
Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026
9%
+7 opciones más
Vol 99,08 mil US$3 días
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping
79%
Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping
77%
Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping
77%
+30 opciones más
Vol 94,31 mil US$1 día
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
8%
Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
6%
+68 opciones más
Vol 93,05 mil US$149 días
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?
Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026
73%
Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026
26%
Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026
2%
+8 opciones más
Vol 82,56 mil US$2 días
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026
48%
Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026
9%
Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026
2%
+6 opciones más
Vol 82,06 mil US$232 días
Trump out as President by May 31?
Trump out as President by May 31
1%
Vol 80,86 mil US$17 días
Who will Trump speak to in May?
Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May
100%
Trump speak to Elon Musk in May
98%
Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May
62%
+17 opciones más
Vol 69,53 mil US$17 días
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
63%
New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
28%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
5%
+31 opciones más
Vol 69,19 mil US$129 días