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US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Si confías en el mercado, todas las apuestas tienen el mismo valor esperado. La rentabilidad real depende de si crees que el mercado se equivoca. Aquí valoramos el perfil de riesgo y el retorno potencial.