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Economía

Mercados financieros, Fed, tarifas, IPOs y macroeconomía.

50 eventos activos · Vol 24h 1,50 M US$

General20 eventos

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
2%
Vol 120,40 mil US$47 días

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026
38%
OpenAI announce glasses in 2026
28%
OpenAI announce a phone in 2026
21%

+7 opciones más

Vol 8,39 mil US$231 días

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31
32%
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30
5%
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31
3%

+2 opciones más

Vol 6,14 mil US$47 días

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Elon Musk buy Ryanair
1%
Vol 5,34 mil US$47 días

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30
15%
Vol 3,66 mil US$47 días

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31
14%
Vol 1,98 mil US$17 días

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026
97%
Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026
85%
Vol 1,87 mil US$231 días

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026
13%

+1 opciones más

Vol 857,02 US$47 días

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027
20%
Vol 512,00 US$231 días

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027
80%
Vol 479,88 US$231 días

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July
3%
Vol 420,91 US$47 días

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30
13%
xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30
9%
Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30
6%

+8 opciones más

Vol 398,77 US$47 días

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026
78%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026
45%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026
26%
Vol 320,58 US$139 días

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026
6%
Vol 288,72 US$232 días

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
80%
Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
78%
Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026
53%

+6 opciones más

Vol 229,15 US$47 días

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks
25%
LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks
6%
Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks
3%

+21 opciones más

Vol 223,62 US$119 días

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026
64%
OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026
48%
xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026
23%

+11 opciones más

Vol 173,81 US$231 días

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk be richest person on December 31
90%
Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31
1%
Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31
1%

+34 opciones más

Vol 151,64 US$231 días

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30
1%

+1 opciones más

Vol 147,89 US$47 días

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
92%
Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
66%
Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark
55%

+1 opciones más

Vol 128,44 US$47 días