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Política

Elecciones, decisiones de gobierno y movimientos políticos en EE. UU. y el mundo.

50 eventos activos · Vol 24h 41,63 M US$

General21 eventos

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026
67%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026
35%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026
20%

+5 opciones más

Vol 2,20 M US$Cerrado

Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
43%
Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
27%
Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026
18%

+23 opciones más

Vol 2,14 M US$2 días

Fed Decision in June?

there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting
98%
Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting
1%
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting
1%

+2 opciones más

Vol 1,71 M US$34 días

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026
20%
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026
19%
Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026
14%

+23 opciones más

Vol 1,52 M US$6 días

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Hezbollah disarm by December 31
17%

+2 opciones más

Vol 1,02 M US$231 días

Elon Musk # tweets May 11 - May 13, 2026?

Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026
98%
Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026
2%
Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026
0%

+7 opciones más

Vol 978,54 mil US$8 h

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

US confirm that aliens exist before 2027
14%
US confirm that aliens exist by September 30
11%
US confirm that aliens exist by June 30
5%

+3 opciones más

Vol 546,82 mil US$231 días

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Iranian regime fall by May 31
1%
Vol 460,49 mil US$17 días

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026
36%
Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
24%
Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
12%

+58 opciones más

Vol 389,27 mil US$231 días

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by June 30
47%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31
38%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24
26%

+6 opciones más

Vol 366,98 mil US$17 días

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Iranian regime fall by June 30
5%
Vol 356,16 mil US$47 días

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
7%
Vol 335,46 mil US$231 días

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026
8%
Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026
8%
Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026
8%

+63 opciones más

Vol 289,28 mil US$18 días

Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026
19%
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026
17%
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026
13%

+23 opciones más

Vol 270,70 mil US$9 días

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026
14%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026
4%
Vol 209,83 mil US$231 días

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026
64%
Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026
8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026
4%

+120 opciones más

Vol 182,54 mil US$231 días

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027
52%
Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027
28%
Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027
5%

+21 opciones más

Vol 164,90 mil US$231 días

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30
2%
Vol 140,17 mil US$47 días

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30
2%
Vol 133,06 mil US$47 días

Fed Decision in July?

there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting
91%
Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
5%
Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
2%

+2 opciones más

Vol 130,26 mil US$76 días

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

U.S. invade Cuba in 2026
23%
Vol 103,62 mil US$231 días