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60 eventos · ordenados por liquidez

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026
63%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026
35%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026
17%

+7 opciones más

Vol 2,62 M US$231 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15
0%
Vol 1,14 M US$1 día

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026
64%
Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026
8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026
4%

+120 opciones más

Vol 183,41 mil US$231 días

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
8%
Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
6%

+68 opciones más

Vol 89,27 mil US$149 días

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
63%
Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
24%
María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
8%

+54 opciones más

Vol 101,37 mil US$231 días

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
7%
Vol 335,46 mil US$231 días

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

U.S. invade Iran before 2027
28%
Vol 154,12 mil US$231 días

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Iranian regime fall by May 31
1%
Vol 342,43 mil US$17 días

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Iranian regime fall by June 30
5%
Vol 281,44 mil US$47 días

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel
41%
Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel
35%
Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel
14%

+25 opciones más

Vol 96,59 mil US$231 días

Will Trump visit China on...?

Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026
100%
Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026
0%
Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026
0%

+29 opciones más

Vol 1,56 M US$17 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May
7%
Vol 631,22 mil US$17 días

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027
12%
Vol 40,91 mil US$231 días

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30
10%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31
5%

+3 opciones más

Vol 130,39 mil US$Cerrado

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iranian regime fall before 2027
18%
Vol 13,24 mil US$231 días

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026
52%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026
23%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026
9%

+10 opciones más

Vol 342,23 mil US$47 días

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31
27%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30
13%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31
7%

+1 opciones más

Vol 128,34 mil US$231 días

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan
52%
no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026
39%
next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country
2%

+16 opciones más

Vol 30,03 mil US$47 días

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Israel strike 5 countries in 2026
36%
Israel strike 4 countries in 2026
29%
Israel strike 6 countries in 2026
19%

+13 opciones más

Vol 1,76 mil US$231 días

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026
45%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026
18%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026
6%

+1 opciones más

Vol 115,51 mil US$231 días

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026
59%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026
24%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026
2%

+17 opciones más

Vol 266,10 mil US$Cerrado

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31
13%
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30
3%
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31
1%

+4 opciones más

Vol 101,22 mil US$47 días

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by June 30
47%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31
38%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24
25%

+6 opciones más

Vol 365,13 mil US$17 días

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31
14%
Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31
14%
Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31
4%

+1 opciones más

Vol 129,86 mil US$17 días

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026
11%
France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026
7%
Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026
6%

+16 opciones más

Vol 49,34 mil US$17 días

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by December 31
35%
Iran leadership change by June 30
14%
Iran leadership change by May 31
8%

+3 opciones más

Vol 45,21 mil US$231 días

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027
52%
Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027
28%
Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027
5%

+21 opciones más

Vol 162,33 mil US$231 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June
31%
Vol 415,88 mil US$47 días

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026
12%
Vol 24,18 mil US$232 días

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump and Putin not meet
84%
Trump and Putin meet next in Russia
6%
Trump and Putin meet next in China
3%

+12 opciones más

Vol 46,40 mil US$47 días

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026
44%
Netanyahu out by June 30
5%
Netanyahu out by May 31
1%

+2 opciones más

Vol 58,12 mil US$231 días

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027
7%
Vol 11,37 mil US$231 días

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Donald Trump visit China in 2026
100%
Donald Trump visit France in 2026
91%
Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026
83%

+21 opciones más

Vol 7,14 mil US$231 días

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair
0%

+2 opciones más

Vol 362,30 mil US$170 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31
78%
Vol 49,49 mil US$231 días

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30
2%
Vol 130,78 mil US$47 días

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027
74%
Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027
6%
Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027
5%

+27 opciones más

Vol 9,32 mil US$231 días

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30
9%
Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30
8%
Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30
4%

+5 opciones más

Vol 64,54 mil US$47 días

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026
45%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026
28%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026
11%

+1 opciones más

Vol 46,80 mil US$231 días

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May
100%
Trump speak to Elon Musk in May
98%
Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May
62%

+17 opciones más

Vol 68,46 mil US$17 días

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026
100%
Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026
87%
Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026
76%

+21 opciones más

Vol 44,54 mil US$231 días

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027
60%
Vol 26,09 mil US$231 días

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026
8%
Vol 939,66 US$231 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31
45%
Vol 40,40 mil US$78 días

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026
52%
Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026
22%
Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026
21%

+4 opciones más

Vol 43,53 mil US$231 días

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027
28%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027
25%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027
25%

+14 opciones más

Vol 535,57 US$231 días

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027
18%
Vol 4,54 mil US$596 días

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31
7%
Vol 3,67 mil US$17 días

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30
21%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30
13%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31
5%

+2 opciones más

Vol 31,57 mil US$Cerrado

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China
0%
Vol 32,39 mil US$17 días

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes
95%
Vol 245,99 US$47 días

Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner

DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election
80%
AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election
21%
ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election
1%

+47 opciones más

Vol 4,11 mil US$10 días

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

U.S. invade Cuba in 2026
23%
Vol 103,41 mil US$231 días

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30
5%
any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30
3%
Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30
3%

+5 opciones más

Vol 1,09 mil US$47 días

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026
16%
Vol 2,17 mil US$231 días

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31
68%
there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31
14%
there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31
11%

+2 opciones más

Vol 22,86 mil US$17 días

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026
17%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026
3%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026
0%

+3 opciones más

Vol 17,03 mil US$17 días

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

US acquire part of Greenland in 2026
17%
Vol 43,19 mil US$231 días

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026
100%
Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026
99%
Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026
7%

+7 opciones más

Vol 34,77 mil US$17 días

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027
36%
Vol 66,32 mil US$231 días

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