Todos los eventos

60 eventos · ordenados por más populares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026
63%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026
35%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026
17%

+7 opciones más

Vol 2,57 M US$231 días

Will Trump visit China on...?

Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026
100%
Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026
0%
Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026
0%

+29 opciones más

Vol 1,49 M US$17 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15
0%
Vol 1,12 M US$1 día

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Hezbollah disarm by December 31
17%

+2 opciones más

Vol 1,02 M US$231 días

US military action against Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by December 31
38%

+2 opciones más

Vol 730,38 mil US$231 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May
7%
Vol 631,87 mil US$17 días

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Iranian regime fall by May 31
1%
Vol 458,98 mil US$17 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June
31%
Vol 416,52 mil US$47 días

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026
52%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026
23%
Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026
9%

+10 opciones más

Vol 410,37 mil US$47 días

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by June 30
47%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31
38%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24
26%

+6 opciones más

Vol 366,91 mil US$17 días

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair
0%
US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair
0%

+2 opciones más

Vol 365,28 mil US$170 días

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Iranian regime fall by June 30
5%
Vol 356,16 mil US$47 días

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
7%
Vol 335,46 mil US$231 días

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026
8%

+2 opciones más

Vol 292,96 mil US$17 días

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026
60%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026
24%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026
2%

+17 opciones más

Vol 280,05 mil US$Cerrado

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026
20%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026
4%
Vol 209,83 mil US$231 días

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026
64%
Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026
8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026
4%

+120 opciones más

Vol 182,54 mil US$231 días

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30
2%
Vol 178,24 mil US$47 días

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027
52%
Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027
28%
Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027
5%

+21 opciones más

Vol 166,31 mil US$231 días

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30
10%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31
5%

+3 opciones más

Vol 151,27 mil US$Cerrado

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31
1%
Vol 151,15 mil US$17 días

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

U.S. invade Iran before 2027
28%
Vol 142,97 mil US$231 días

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30
2%
Vol 140,17 mil US$47 días

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30
2%
Vol 133,06 mil US$47 días

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026
10%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026
2%

+1 opciones más

Vol 132,41 mil US$47 días

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31
27%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30
13%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31
7%

+1 opciones más

Vol 131,40 mil US$231 días

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31
14%
Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31
14%
Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31
4%

+1 opciones más

Vol 124,35 mil US$17 días

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
2%
Vol 120,40 mil US$47 días

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026
45%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026
18%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026
6%

+1 opciones más

Vol 118,52 mil US$231 días

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026
25%
Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026
7%
Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026
2%
Vol 117,03 mil US$231 días

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31
13%
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30
3%
Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31
1%

+4 opciones más

Vol 103,91 mil US$47 días

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

U.S. invade Cuba in 2026
23%
Vol 103,62 mil US$231 días

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
63%
Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
24%
María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
8%

+54 opciones más

Vol 103,36 mil US$231 días

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel
41%
Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel
35%
Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel
14%

+25 opciones más

Vol 103,04 mil US$231 días

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30
1%
Vol 100,02 mil US$47 días

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026
2%
Vol 99,19 mil US$47 días

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
8%
Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
6%

+68 opciones más

Vol 93,05 mil US$149 días

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026
48%
Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026
9%
Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026
2%

+6 opciones más

Vol 82,06 mil US$232 días

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30
2%
Vol 81,95 mil US$47 días

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May
100%
Trump speak to Elon Musk in May
98%
Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May
62%

+17 opciones más

Vol 69,53 mil US$17 días

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027
36%
Vol 66,20 mil US$231 días

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026
44%
Netanyahu out by June 30
5%
Netanyahu out by May 31
2%

+2 opciones más

Vol 57,44 mil US$231 días

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30
11%
Vol 52,23 mil US$47 días

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30
9%
Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30
8%
Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30
4%

+5 opciones más

Vol 51,68 mil US$47 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31
78%
Vol 49,66 mil US$231 días

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026
11%
France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026
7%
Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026
6%

+16 opciones más

Vol 47,61 mil US$17 días

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30
6%
Vol 47,54 mil US$47 días

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump and Putin not meet
84%
Trump and Putin meet next in Russia
6%
Trump and Putin meet next in China
3%

+12 opciones más

Vol 47,13 mil US$47 días

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by December 31
35%
Iran leadership change by June 30
14%
Iran leadership change by May 31
8%

+3 opciones más

Vol 45,83 mil US$231 días

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026
100%
Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026
87%
Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026
72%

+21 opciones más

Vol 44,65 mil US$231 días

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026
53%
Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026
22%
Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026
21%

+4 opciones más

Vol 44,42 mil US$231 días

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

US acquire part of Greenland in 2026
17%
Vol 43,88 mil US$231 días

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15
0%
Vol 42,27 mil US$1 día

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027
12%
Vol 40,82 mil US$231 días

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31
45%
Vol 38,66 mil US$78 días

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026
100%
Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026
99%
Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026
6%

+7 opciones más

Vol 36,09 mil US$17 días

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026
11%
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026
2%

+1 opciones más

Vol 34,62 mil US$Cerrado

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China
0%
Vol 32,39 mil US$17 días

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30
21%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30
13%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31
5%

+2 opciones más

Vol 32,31 mil US$Cerrado

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week
4%
Vol 30,24 mil US$3 días

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